日志文章

2008年04月01日 09:11:18

TD试商用不是愚人节的故事

TD试商用不是愚人节的故事
4月1日愚人节，中国移动正式启动TD社会化业务测试和试商用，这意味着中国的3G时代真正到来了，对于TD的试商用，有很多消费者关心是不是可以成为用户，在8月份我们是不是能用手机看上奥运会？
以现在的情况来看，TD的试商用距离大规模的商用还是有较大的距离，奥运会期间普通消费者想用上3G还是较难。TD的试商用拉开了3G在中国的序幕，意味着中国开始走向一个3G的时代，消费者移动上网有了一个新的选择，用户可以通过3G网络享受更高的数据传输速度，手机上网、移动数据卡都为消费提供了新的选择。
经过几年磨砺，TD试商用，这意味了经过近两年的建设，TD已经可以面对商用的考验，从只是在运营商的试验，到可以和消费者见面了，我相信，它已经初步具备了商用的能力，对于中国移动这样的公司而言，不是有充分的准备，它是不会轻易出手的。另一方面，TD的试商用，距离大规模商用还有一段距离，目前建成的TD网络承载能力大约是800万户，一个移动网，加载10%和用户和加载80%的用户完全不是一回事，大量的用户的进入，对于网络要求、终端要求都是完全不同，这需要要在试商用中完成，仅仅是用户放号都会是一个复杂的问题。
TD的大规模商用，也需要发放3G牌照，这其中还会牵涉到WCDMA和CDMA2000标准牌照发放的问题，这其中还包括战略、法律、技术各方面的问题，因此，未来的大规模商用还是有一段时间的。
但是，TD的试商用，却是迈出踏踏实实的一步，TD不但是可以在一个小圈子里使用，同时它还敢拿出来和老百姓见面，这充分说明，在技术上它已经解决了基本问题，正在逐渐走向成熟，下面它要面对的问题是网络的深层次部署和优化，还有业务平台的组织和业务的组织。还有TD的终端还需要加油，消费者和专业测试人员的不同，他们对于终端更加挑剔。
不过，对于TD开始商用，今后的路依然很远，消费者能否接受？网络、终端能不能经受考验，这都是大问题。其实以我分析，未来很长一段的时间，用TD手机可能不会成为时尚，但是数据卡却是中国移动拿来和中国联通争夺市场的利器，在2G的时代，在数据卡业务上，GPRS相对CDMA1X基本是惨败，现在TD终于有了机会。
更多通信业专业信息请访问飞象网

Tags： TD   TD试商用   愚人节   WCDMA   CDMA2000  

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